Since elections are at the heart of modern democracy, polling companies are interested in predicting results to determine the future political climate. Polls are not perfect, and no matter how well they are done, there will always be uncertainty. This election essay will analyze polling data on the French presidential race and the factors taken into account when making predictions. First, it will explain why it is difficult to conduct accurate polls and what impact they have on voter turnout. Second, the newspaper will evaluate Macron's presidency and the changed image of Marine Le Pen since the previous elections. Third, it will analyze the electorate of the two candidates and their main characteristics. Finally, he will examine POLITICO's polling in the run-up to the election and the impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Say no to plagiarism. Get a tailor-made essay on “Why violent video games should not be banned”? Get an original essay The accuracy of polls depends on how representative the sample of people responding to the poll is of the electorate in terms of age, gender, education and social class. Some would decide at the last minute or hide their voting intentions if they supported a controversial figure. It is suggested that some people like to vote for winners; therefore, polling organizations could exploit this to advance their own politically charged agendas. Data suggests that voters' perceptions of how close an election is may affect turnout, because people may feel like the prediction is a foregone conclusion. This can marginalize candidates who have less support by implying that they have already lost and that voting would be pointless. Alternatively, if voters think the election is close, turnout could increase and overturn the expected outcome. Former Economy Minister Emmanuel Macron became the youngest president in French history in 2017, defeating National Front leader Marine Le Pen and reaching 66.1 percent support from 33.9 percent. percent. Macron faced challenges during his presidency, when chaos caused by massive strikes over pension reform and the Yellow Vest crisis linked to fuel tax increases hit in late 2018. Then the Covid pandemic -19 had begun, and Macron pledged to protect the French economy from the pandemic. Shame. Some election forecasts focus on economic variables and analyze the strength of the incumbent president's position based on the economy, social climate, and foreign and military affairs. They would also examine the current president's charisma and how he compares to his opponents; also, whether he has been involved in any major scandals during his presidency that could affect his popularity. Projections based on fundamentals tend to be quite accurate when it comes to determining support for the incumbent president. Marine Le Pen, the far-right leader, was expected to join Macron in the second round, just as in the 2017 elections. Marine Le Pen focused her campaign on immigration and security and skillfully exploited the issue of the cost of life. She sought to soften the image of her party and abandoned the idea of ​​taking France out of the European Union, the Schengen area and the euro zone. This helped create a more moderate image for him compared to Ric Zemmour. His strategy to bring his party to the forefront of politics was largely successful, winning $12 million..